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Decoding Demographics: The Rapid Changing Face of Madagascar Population 2024

madagascar population

Written by David Oldfield

June 29, 2024

Exploring Madagascar Population Mix

Madagascar population dynamics are essential to explore, as the island nation offers a unique blend of biodiversity and cultural heritage. Understanding its demographic trends is crucial for addressing challenges related to urbanization, conservation, and public health.

This knowledge aids in planning for future needs such as education, infrastructure, and effective governance. With its diverse population mirroring its ecological variety, studying these trends is key to sustainably managing Madagascar’s rich natural resources and cultural heritage.

Before we started, check out the best tips for Madagascar travel & safety.

Demographic Overview of Madagascar

According to the statistics of 2024, it is estimated that Madagascar is home to a vibrant population of over 30 million people. This number has been growing steadily, with an average of about 2.3% increase each year.  

From the report of 2023, Madagascar’s population density was 52 people per km2 (135 people per mi2), based on a total land area of 581,795 km2 (224,632 square miles).

But where are all these people living?  The population isn’t spread evenly across the island. Most Malagasy people live in the central highlands, where the climate is cooler, and the land is more fertile for farming.  The capital city, Antananarivo, is the largest urban area, followed by other cities like Toamasina and Antsirabe.

City NamePopulation
Antananarivo1,391,433
Toamasina206,373

These cities are growing quickly as people come seeking jobs, education, and better healthcare. The coasts, especially the west, tend to be sparsely populated. This is because some areas get very little rain, making it difficult to grow crops.

Ethnic Composition & population density of Madagascar

The population of Madagascar is primarily made up of eighteen main ethnic groups, with the Merina tribe being the largest. The Merina live mainly in the central highlands around Antananarivo, the capital city. Known for their historical dominance and influence, the Merina have played a crucial role in shaping Madagascar’s culture and political landscape.

Other significant groups include the Betsimisaraka, who are predominant along the east coast. The Betsimisaraka are traditionally fishermen and farmers, and their communities are closely tied to the coastal and marine environments. The Betsileo, found in the south-central part of the island, are renowned for their terraced rice paddies and agricultural expertise.

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Each group has its unique customs, traditions, and even languages, adding to the diverse cultural mosaic of Madagascar. This diversity is evident in the island’s festivals, music, dance, and arts, which vary significantly from one region to another.

The Sakalava, Antandroy, and Antaimoro are just a few of the other groups contributing to this rich cultural tapestry. These ethnic groups collectively embody the rich heritage and multifaceted identity of Madagascar, making it a fascinating destination for cultural exploration.

Madagascar’s Melting Pot: People and Places

From 1960 to 2022, Madagascar population expanded from 5.10 million to 29.61 million people. This represents that 480.7 percentage of the total population has increased over the previous 62 years.

The population density of Madagascar in 2023 is 52 people per km2 (135 people per mi2), based on a total land area of 581,795 km2 (224,632 square miles).

The population growth rate in Madagascar is increasing due to a combination of high fertility rates and decreasing mortality rates.

Madagascar’s total fertility rate remains quite high, with an average of around 4.2 children per woman. This rate indicates the average number of children each woman must have to ensure that each generation replaces itself exactly, without relying on international immigration.

On the other hand, mortality rates (death rate), particularly infant mortality rates (IMR), have been decreasing in Madagascar. It’s 3.4. 

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In terms of places, it varies greatly across the island. The central highlands, where the Merina reside, are the most densely populated area of Madagascar. This region’s cooler climate and relatively fertile land make it ideal for agriculture, supporting a larger population. 

In contrast, the southern region of the island is much less densely populated due to its arid climate and less fertile land, making it challenging for large communities to thrive. The eastern coast, with its tropical climate and abundant rainfall, also supports a higher population density, with people primarily engaged in farming and fishing.

Age Structure and Gender Ratio

Madagascar’s population has a youthful structure, which plays a significant role in shaping the country’s social and economic landscape. The majority of the Madagascar population is under the age of 20, making up about 60% of all residents. 

This youthful demographic is a key feature, with children under the age of 15 accounting for approximately 40% of the total population. This high proportion of young people presents both opportunities and challenges for the nation in terms of education and employment.

And Madagascar’s median age is approximately 19.3 years old. This means half the population is younger than 19.3 years, and the other half is older.

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image from worldometer

Looking at the gender ratio, Madagascar is fairly balanced, with a slight variation between males and females in different age groups. Generally, there are slightly more women than men, a trend that becomes more pronounced in older age groups.

Here is a table related to the life expectancy of Madagascar population.

BOTH SEXESFEMALESMALES
66.4 years68.8 years64.1 years
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image from worldometer

Among the youth and working-age population, the gender ratio is almost equal, but in the senior age group, women tend to outnumber men. This is often attributed to the higher life expectancy of women compared to men.

Urban Population vs. Rural Population Distribution

The spread of the population across such a varied geography impacts everything from local economies to the environment. As more people move to the cities, it challenges these urban areas to provide adequate services and infrastructure to meet the growing demand.

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Meanwhile, rural areas continue to rely heavily on natural resources, which must be managed wisely to sustain the communities that depend on them. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for planning and development, ensuring that all Malagasy people can look forward to a sustainable future.

Economic Impact of Population in Madagascar

Madagascar’s booming population, with a high proportion of young people, has a significant impact on the island’s economy. A large and young population translates to a potentially strong workforce.

This can be a boon for economic growth, with more people contributing to various sectors like agriculture, tourism, and manufacturing. As these young adults enter the workforce, Madagascar could potentially see a surge in productivity and innovation.

However, this situation also presents challenges. With a rapidly growing population, the demand for jobs outpaces the current rate of job creation. This can lead to unemployment and underemployment, especially among young people. 

Challenges in Health and Education 

The population of Madagascar puts a strain on its health and education systems. High birth rates lead to a surge in young children needing access to quality healthcare.

Child marriage is one of the great issues here. Also, the percentage of women aged 15 to 49 who wish to stop or delay having children but are not using any form of contraception. However, limited resources can mean overcrowded clinics and a shortage of medical professionals.

Education also faces challenges. The large number of school-age children requires continuous expansion of schools and teachers.  Unfortunately, underfunding often leads to overcrowded classrooms and insufficient learning materials.

This combination can hinder educational attainment for the younger generation. While Madagascar’s young population holds future potential, ensuring their health and education requires significant investment to bridge the gap between current resources and the ever-growing needs.

Challenges and Opportunities

Madagascar’s growing population presents a complex situation for the Malagasy people.

Challenges of the population of Madagascar

Strained Resources: Food, housing, and infrastructure struggle to keep pace with the population boom.
Youth Bulge: A large young population creates pressure on education and job creation.
Healthcare Burden:  Early childbearing, coupled with Madagascar’s widespread poverty and lack of access to skilled health care providers during delivery, increases the risk of death and serious health problems for young mothers and their babies.

Environmental Degradation: Rapid population growth leads to increased deforestation, soil erosion, and loss of biodiversity.
Urbanization Challenges: Rural to urban migration strains urban infrastructure, leading to overcrowding, inadequate housing, and sanitation issues.
Poverty Alleviation: High population growth exacerbates poverty levels, making it challenging to achieve sustainable development goals.
Socio-economic Disparities: Population growth widens the gap between the rich and the poor, exacerbating social inequalities and increasing social tensions.
Pressure on Natural Resources: Growing Madagascar population leads to overexploitation of natural resources, threatening ecosystems and biodiversity conservation efforts.
Vulnerability to Natural Disasters: Increasing population density in hazard-prone areas elevates the risk and impact of natural disasters such as cyclones, floods, and droughts.

Opportunities of Madagascar Demographics

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Workforce Potential: A young population can be a powerful engine for economic growth.
Demographic Dividend: With proper investment, a skilled young workforce can fuel innovation.
Dynamic Society: A growing population fosters a vibrant and diverse society.

Entrepreneurial Spirit: A youthful population often exhibits a strong entrepreneurial spirit, driving innovation, creativity, and economic diversification.
Cultural Revitalization: A growing population contributes to the preservation and revitalization of cultural traditions, languages, and heritage.
Social Cohesion: Increased interaction and diversity within society can promote social cohesion, tolerance, and understanding among different communities.
Market Expansion: A larger consumer base resulting from population growth can stimulate domestic demand, attract investment, and spur economic development.

The key lies in harnessing the potential of the young population through education, job training, and responsible resource management. By addressing these challenges, Madagascar can transform its demographic boom into a force for a brighter future.

Government Policies and Programs

Government policies and programs play a crucial role in addressing population issues in Madagascar. The government has implemented various initiatives to manage population growth, improve healthcare, and enhance education opportunities. These include family planning campaigns, maternal and child health programs, and efforts to expand access to education, particularly in rural areas.

Additionally, the government promotes sustainable development practices to mitigate environmental degradation and ensure resource conservation for future generations.

International aid also has a significant impact on population health and education in Madagascar. Donor-funded projects support initiatives such as immunization campaigns, maternal healthcare services, and the construction of schools and educational facilities.

This aid helps supplement government efforts, filling gaps in funding and expertise to reach vulnerable populations and underserved areas. By working in collaboration with international partners, Madagascar can leverage resources and expertise to address complex population challenges and improve the well-being of its people.

Conclusion

Madagascar’s population is a key factor in shaping the country’s future. With many young people and a rich cultural mix, there are both challenges and opportunities ahead. Issues like limited resources, healthcare needs, and education gaps need to be addressed for sustainable growth.

However, by investing in these areas, Madagascar can use its young population to boost economic growth and innovation. Effectively managing the population will help create a bright and prosperous future for the nation.

FAQs of Madagascar Population 2024

Is Madagascar a rich or poor country?
Madagascar is considered a low-income country. Despite its rich natural resources and unique biodiversity, it faces significant economic challenges, including widespread poverty, limited infrastructure, and underdeveloped health care and education systems.

What is Madagascar best known for?
Madagascar is best known for its incredible biodiversity and unique wildlife. It is home to many species found nowhere else on Earth, including lemurs, chameleons, and a wide variety of plants. The island is also famous for its stunning landscapes, including rainforests, beaches, and the Avenue of the Baobabs.

What percentage of Madagascar is black?
Madagascar’s population is primarily composed of people of mixed Austronesian and East African descent, with no single percentage accurately representing the “black” population as typically categorized. The ethnic composition is diverse, reflecting a blend of African, Asian, and Arab ancestries.

What are the top 3 ethnic groups in Madagascar?
The top three ethnic groups in Madagascar are:

Merina: Primarily located in the central highlands around the capital, Antananarivo.
Betsimisaraka: Predominantly found along the eastern coast.
Betsileo: Mainly residing in the south-central region of the island.

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